Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.109749 0.136184 0.165132 0.198891 0.236888 0.278059 0.325765
2025-03-23 0.076352 0.110949 0.152479 0.204754 0.267587 0.339566 0.427143
2025-03-30 0.050238 0.087016 0.135641 0.201514 0.285499 0.386341 0.513944
2025-04-06 0.033308 0.069860 0.123208 0.200646 0.304622 0.434467 0.604018
2025-04-13 0.023043 0.058904 0.116497 0.205400 0.330078 0.490773 0.705808
2025-04-20 0.016252 0.051056 0.112407 0.212504 0.358207 0.550964 0.814032
2025-04-27 0.011210 0.044232 0.108281 0.218448 0.384338 0.608915 0.920665
2025-05-04 0.006830 0.036282 0.100305 0.217030 0.399183 0.651645 1.008117
2025-05-11 0.004352 0.031348 0.096547 0.221473 0.422188 0.705627 1.111184
2025-05-18 0.002307 0.025546 0.089512 0.219264 0.434524 0.744652 1.194644
2025-05-25 0.000788 0.018609 0.077774 0.206981 0.429966 0.759012 1.244353
2025-06-01 0.000311 0.015626 0.074246 0.208958 0.447569 0.805124 1.338000
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.011707 0.066914 0.202921 0.452138 0.832972 1.407959
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.010874 0.068180 0.214116 0.485730 0.904467 1.540347
2025-06-22 NaN 0.008668 0.064190 0.213881 0.499818 0.947059 1.632628
2025-06-29 NaN 0.006961 0.060994 0.214812 0.515724 0.992553 1.729610
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006014 0.060201 0.220885 0.540723 1.052288 1.847734
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005365 0.060335 0.228997 0.569498 1.118215 1.975481
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004673 0.059891 0.235637 0.595747 1.180608 2.098822
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003543 0.056370 0.234381 0.607414 1.220346 2.189619
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002960 0.055374 0.239192 0.630314 1.277992 2.307149
2025-08-10 NaN 0.002127 0.051821 0.236951 0.639778 1.314400 2.393795
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001121 0.044740 0.224066 0.628122 1.316544 2.429557